What’s likely to happen in the FX markets this year. Much depends on how the Trump presidency and the Chinese economy work out.了解更多
It’s that time of year again when I do my favorite column, in which I ask: how did the FX experts perform last year? I’m going to look at the “market consensus” forecast for currencies at the beginning of 2016 to see what value了解更多
Donald Trump won a stunning upset victory in the US Presidential election. The Republican Party also retained control of the Senate and the House of Representatives, so that gives them a clean sweep of the US government.了解更多
Investors may be wondering what is likely to happen in the financial markets after the US Presidential election. We know roughly what’s likely to happen, because we saw some natural experiments recently.了解更多
There were two major changes in the outlook for the pound Thursday. First, the UK High Court ruled against the government on Brexit.了解更多
The upcoming US elections are proving to be the most controversial elections to-date. With both Trump and Clinton identified as the presidential nominees for their respective parties, the result will indeed be an interesting one.了解更多
Incredible volatility overnight! For no apparent reason, GBP just suddenly collapsed as computer-generated sell orders flooded the market. But just as the currency collapsed for no perceptible reason, it quickly rebounded for no reason either.了解更多
There was some big news out overnight: OPEC agreed on a production cut! This is the first time in eight years they’ve agreed to something like that. Expectations for the informal meeting that took place yesterday were quite low, so oil prices shot up over 5% on the news.了解更多
Last night was the first of three US presidential debates. With the polls so close – Clinton leads by less than 2 percentage points -- the debates have the potential to sway the undecided voters and tip the election either way.了解更多
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) today surprised the markets with yet another tweak of their monetary policy. As expected, it focused on the shape of the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield curve, but it contained enough new and unexpected aspects to provide several surprises.了解更多
UK Retail Sales, US Leading Index; Japan Trade Balance
After a few days with a flurry of indicators, today is rather quiet on the scheduled news front. ...
G20 Finance Ministers’ Meeting; US Housing Starts
The G20 Foreign Ministers meet in Bonn today and tomorrow. The focus of discussions will apparently be fighting poverty in Africa, so it might not cause that many waves i ...
2nd Installment of Yellen Testimony; US CPI, Retail Sales; Australia Employment
The main point of interest today will again be Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony to Congress. The second day tends not to be as exciting as the first day however as the statem ...
Yellen Testimony, UK CPI, ZEW Survey
The highlight today will be Fed Chair Yellen’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress (the Senate today, the House tomorrow). This is her first public speaking op ...
Trump/Abe Meeting, UK Trade & IP, U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Yesterday’s schedule was pretty empty, but today we have a lot more to look forward to. ...
No Major Indicators
The major events of the day – the RBNZ meeting and the German trade balance – will be out of the way by the time trading begins in earnest in Europe. The German trade sur ...
UK House Prices, US & Canada Trade Balance, Japan Current Account
The day’s excitement is already over, following the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting. There’s only second-tier data out today. ...