About the British Elections

On the 8th of June 2017, the British electorate will vote for a new government. The UK has been in the spotlight in recent months since the decisive referendum in which the British public voted to leave the European Union. This was closely followed by the resignation of outgoing Prime Minister David Cameron, and the accession of Theresa May who pledged to follow the wishes of the British people by instigating the process to depart the EU.


 

About the British Elections

On the 8th of June 2017, the British electorate will vote for a new government. The UK has been in the spotlight in recent months since the decisive referendum in which the British public voted to leave the European Union. This was closely followed by the resignation of outgoing Prime Minister David Cameron, and the accession of Theresa May who pledged to follow the wishes of the British people by instigating the process to depart the EU.

Who might win?

Initial opinion polls for the 2017 elections show that the Conservative party have a record-breaking lead over the left-wing Labour party headed by controversial leader Jeremy Corbyn. This right-wing tendency in the UK represents the general public’s anti-Europe sentiment following waves of immigration from the near East and disillusionment from the previous Labour government’s foreign policy in the same region.

 

Implications Of The Elections
On The Markets

In April 18th the Pound climbs ~1% to a 6-month high after PM Teresa May called a snap election for June 8th. Investors still remain uncertain about the impact of Brexit on the markets, however they expect greater authority in negotiating the terms leaving the EU due to the general elections; the elections are set no further than a month ahead. Polls indicate that May’s conservative party is in a leading position, with Labor following. Polls also predicted Macron winning the French election on 7th of May, unlike with Brexit and U.S elections - those where inaccurate - however the Euro slipped lower below 1.0950 after most of investors took profits early. The UK election is expected to create some more volatility, which increased 456% over the past 3-months. May’s negotiating power and a Hard Brexit can be pivotal for the British Pound.

 

 


 

How will the British Elections affect
your trading strategy?

Volatility is highly likely in the run up to the elections. Fears that the UK will leave the European Union are a tangible reality now that article 50 has been triggered, and the government is taking steps to extricate the country from the beaurocratic arms of the EU. Clients are advised to build a solid trading strategy by setting take profit and stop losses on their MT4 platform.

 

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