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Currency Outlook 2018 (YTD)

The US DOLLAR struggled to perform on the offensive for most of 2017 amid growing political, geo-political and environmental related risks, moving nearly 6.20% lower year-to-date (YTD).

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Central Banks to Set the Tone for 2018

With little to support the economic calendar, today markets are concentrated on a number of Central Bank meetings following this week, meetings likely to set the stage for 2018.

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RBA & RBNZ Rate Hike Likely To Impact The Housing Market

Based on economic and monetary analyses RBNZ decided to leave rates unchanged at 1.75% in line with the Policy Targets Agreement.

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A view on NFP report

Based on the the payroll headline figures for the month of September a somewhat different reaction was seen in the markets instead of a broadly weaker US Dollar.

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A view on October's interest rates

The Bank of Canada raised its interest rates by 25bp back in September 6th following a 25bp rate hike in July 12. The rate hike took Loonie 82 cents higher versus the Dollar while economists were expecting another raise in the upcoming October 25th economic event, rather than as early as July.

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Japan’s Abe Poised for a Big Victory According to Forecast

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a snap election back in September 25th, taking full advantage of a weak and disorganised opposition, while his approval ratings climbed higher, near 44%, on his hard stance against North Korea.

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German Elections

While polls show Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party heading the German Election with a 16% lead over follower Martin Schulz’s Social Democrat (SPD) party amid a televised debate the latter “failed” ...

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August NFP Special Report

A more important than usual report came out on the 4th of August as doubts over a rate hike increased following a slowdown in inflation. Along with the Fed’s approach to reducing the $4.5 trillion balance sheet, July’s job figures did matter the most to the central bank and investors.

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EURJPY Fresh Highs - The Rally That May Not Last Much Longer

Euro – Yenb> hit a fresh 17-Month high at 130.516 due to the latest sell-off in the Euro Bond market while BoJ is expected to hold its soft monetary policy unchanged as the introduction of Yield-Curve control in 2016 is far from improving inflation.

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What to expect from this months NFP?

A clearly “soft” report May’s NFP as consensus expectations was for a 185K increase in employment change, the actual data saw a fall to 138K, and the unemployment rate was little changed to 4.3%; both multiyear records.

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Crude Oil Price - The short

Oil has been in the spotlight over the past few weeks, not to say since the beginning of 2017, where the black gold struck a staggering $55.72 per barrel.

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What is the so called FOMC and what is its role?

The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. The committee's primary responsibility is to undertake action to influence the supply and cost of money.

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London's War On Terror Sends Markets Plummeting

Police in London have reinforced security across the River Thames following the 3rd ISIS attack in just 3 months. 7 have been pronounced dead and 21 critically injured...

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April’s NFP consensus expectation was for a 194.000 increase in employment change. EUSUSD reacted in a positive manner, giving the opportunity...

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F.B.I Director James Comey firing last week will stay in history. President Donald Trump described the sacking took place over Comey’s handling of the investigation of the “Hillary Clinton Email Scandal”.

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Macron wins French Presidential Elections

Emmanuel Macron has won the 2017 Elections and will be inaugurated as the youngest ever President of France, beating right-wing and anti-EU Marine Le Pen by a large margin.

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French Elections: The Vote That Could Devastate The EURO

On 23 April 2017, the French electorate will vote for a new President. Whilst market pundits are split on who is likely to take the Presidential title, all agree that the vote outcome may mean bad news for the European Union and for the Euro.

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Politics, not economics, weighing on EUR

The Eurozone’s economics would seem to suggest a stronger currency, but instead the continent’s political problems are weighing the single currency down.

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